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【单选题】
The majority of successful senior managers do not closely follow the classical rational model of first clari- lying goals, assessing the problem, formulating options, estimating likelihoods of success, making a decision, and only then taking action to implement the decision. Rather, in their day-by-day tactical maneuvers, these senior executives rely on what is vaguely termed 'intuition' to manage a network of interrelated problems that require them to deal with ambiguity, inconsistency, novelty, and surprise and to integrate action into the process of thinking. Generations of writers on management have recognized that some practicing managers rely heavily on intu- ition. In general, however, such writers display a poor grasp of what intuition is. Some see it as the opposite of rationality others view it as an excuse for capriciousness. Isenberg’s recent research on the cognitive processes of senior managers reveals that managers' intuition is neither of these. Rather, senior managers use intuition in at least five distinct ways. First, they intuitively sense when a problem exists. Second, managers rely on intuition to perform. well-learned behavior. patterns rapidly. This intuition is not arbitrary or irrational, but is based on years of painstaking practice and hands-on experience that build skills. A third function of intuition is to synthesize isolated bits of dar8 and practice into an integrated picture, often in an 'Aha' experience. Fourth, some managers use intuition as a check on the results of more rational analysis. Most senior executives are familiar with the formal decision analysis models and tools, and those who use such systematic methods for reaching decisions are occasionally leery of solutions suggested by these methods which run counter to their sense of the correct course of action. Finally, managers can use intuition to bypass in-depth analysis and move rapidly to engender a plausible solution. Used in this way, intuition is an almost instantaneous cognitive process in which a manager recognizes patterns. One of the implications of the intuitive style. of executive management is that 'thinking' is inseparable from acting. Since managers often 'know' what is right before they can analyze and explain it, they frequently act first and explain later. Analysis is inextricably tied to action in thinking/acting cycles, in which managers develop thoughts about their companies and organizations not by analyzing a problematic situation and then acting, but by acting and analyzing in close concert. The classical model of decision analysis includes all EXCEPT
A.
evaluation of a problem.
B.
establishment of clear goals to be reached by the decision.
C.
action undertaken in order to discover more information about a problem.
D.
comparison of the probable effects of different solutions to a problem.
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参考答案:
举一反三
【多选题】在本量利分析中,必须把企业全部成本区分为()
A.
直接成本
B.
间接成本
C.
固定成本
D.
变动成本
【单选题】钥匙掉了,掉在宿舍里、掉在教室里、掉在路上的概率分别是50%、30%和20%,而掉在上述三个地方被找到的概率分别是0.8、0.3和0.1,则找到钥匙的概率是( )。
A.
0.49
B.
0.50
C.
0.51
D.
0.52
【单选题】在目标设立过程中,以下哪种作法是不对的
A.
尽可能量化企业目标
B.
把目标控制在五个以内
C.
目标期限应以长期目标为主
D.
期限适中
【简答题】已知 ,且 为第二象限角,则 。
【单选题】在本量利分析中,必须把企业全部成本区分为变动成本和( )
A.
固定成本
B.
机会成本
C.
可控成本
D.
边际成本
【简答题】切花的水份平衡是指切花的吸收、 以及 蒸腾 之间保持良好的状态
【单选题】钥匙掉了,掉在宿舍里、掉在教室里、掉在路上的概率分别是50%、30%和20%,而掉在上述三处地方被找到的概率分别是0.6、0.2和0.1,则找到钥匙的概率为(
A.
0.9
B.
0.38
C.
0.62
D.
0.48
【简答题】钥匙掉了,掉在宿舍里、教室里、路上的概率分别是0.5、0.3、0.2,而掉在上述三处的被找到概率分别为0.8、0.3、0.1,则找到钥匙的概率为( )
【单选题】钥匙掉了,掉在宿舍里、教室里和路上的概率分别为0.5,0.3, 0.2。而掉在上述三处地方被找到的概率分别为0.8,0.3,0.1。则找到钥匙的概率为
A.
0.47
B.
0.51
C.
0.63
D.
0.7
【简答题】已知 ,且 为第二象限角,则 的值为 .
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